Citi Field
MLB ballpark HR park factor + handedness splits
Why this park plays this way
Mets home. Slightly HR-suppressing — the 2012 renovation pulled walls in but it's still a tough HR park. LHB suppressed more than RHB. Marine air at night is real. Lindor types beat this park; pure pull lefty power struggles.
How to use park factor when betting MLB
Park factor is one of 12 factors in our HR model. It carries roughly 11% of total weight in the default profile — material, not dominant. Other big factors: batter power, batter Statcast quality, opposing pitcher HR vulnerability, weather.
For most parks, factor doesn't override a weak pitcher matchup — but extreme parks (Coors at 118, Oracle at 88) can swing a player's projected HR rate by 5+ percentage points. Pair an elite power bat with the right park and you're looking at our top 5 every time.
See which hitters our model loves at this park tonight
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