WNBA player props today

How the WNBA prop projections work

Each projection starts from a player's per-game rate (points, rebounds, assists, threes) over the current season, blended with their last-10-game form, then adjusted for three things that actually move prop outcomes: projected minutes (the single biggest driver), game pace (more possessions = more counting stats), and the matchup — how the opponent's defense performs against the player's position.

Defense vs position (DvP), built in

Open any player and you get a league-wide defense-vs-position read: how many points, rebounds, assists, and threes the opponent allows to guards, forwards, or centers per game — versus the league average, with a rank. A center facing a defense that gives up the most points to centers, on a fast pace, is a very different spot than the same player against a top-3 interior defense. We surface that, plus the opponent's defensive rating and the player's recent game log, so you can read the matchup yourself.

Paste a line, see the edge

Type the book's line into any row and we compute your over probability and the fair (no-vig) odds from the projection's distribution. If the book's price is longer than fair, that's a positive-expected-value over. It's the same engine and transparency as our MLB board — every number is yours to check.