Sung-Mun Song (L)
SD vs
TOR· Petco Park2026-07-10
HR Score
37.0
Rank #297 of 377
Model HR%
7.1%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1308
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
100
Platoon edge
82
Weather
58
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shane Bieber
RHP · 4.15 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
92
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.