Joshua Kuroda-Grauer (R)
ATH vs
CWS· Rate Field2026-07-10
HR Score
40.4
Rank #220 of 377
Model HR%
8.2%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1115
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Park factor
60
Starter vulnerability
55
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sean Burke
RHP · 1.09 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
107
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.