Ben Williamson (R)
TB vs
SEA· Tropicana Field2026-07-10
HR Score
31.6
Rank #360 of 377
Model HR%
5.7%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1641
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Pitcher tendency
57
Starter vulnerability
53
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Weather
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Luis Castillo
RHP · 0.98 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
95
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.