Masataka Yoshida (L)
BOS vs
NYM· Citi Field2026-07-10
HR Score
33.3
Rank #347 of 381
Model HR%
6.1%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1534
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
62
Platoon edge
62
Starter vulnerability
51
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Nolan McLean
RHP · 0.89 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
96
neutral
Want the full board with all 12 factor sliders, K props, parlay builder, and bet tracker?
Start 7-day free trial →$9.99/mo after. Cancel anytime.
Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.