Jakob Marsee (L)
MIA vs
CLE· loanDepot park2026-07-10
HR Score
28.5
Rank #377 of 377
Model HR%
5.2%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1837
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
55
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
HP umpire
50
Catcher framing
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Parker Messick
LHP · 0.76 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
90
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.