Alan Roden (L)
MIN vs
LAA· Target Field2026-07-10
HR Score
43.9
Rank #150 of 274
Model HR%
9.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+938
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
HP umpire
100
Platoon edge
72
Weather
63
Starter vulnerability
59
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Grayson Rodriguez
RHP · 1.16 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.