Tommy White (R)
ATH vs
AZ· Chase Field2026-07-21
HR Score
43.8
Rank #193 of 386
Model HR%
9.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+943
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
65
Weather
64
Starter vulnerability
50
Pitcher tendency
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Kohl Drake
LHP · — HR/9
Park factor (HR)
100
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.