James Wood (L)
WSH vs
NYY· Nationals Park2026-07-10
HR Score
67.7
Rank #3 of 377
Model HR%
24.0%
probability this game
Fair odds
+317
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Contact quality
100
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
Batter power
82
Recent form
77
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Ryan Weathers
LHP · 1.56 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
102
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.