Edwin Arroyo (S)
CIN vs
CHC· Great American Ball Park2026-07-10
HR Score
43.2
Rank #177 of 381
Model HR%
9.3%
probability this game
Fair odds
+972
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Park factor
91
Bullpen vulnerability
82
Weather
67
Starter vulnerability
66
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shota Imanaga
LHP · 1.83 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
116
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.