Jacob Gonzalez (L)
CWS vs
ATH· Rate Field2026-07-10
HR Score
41.9
Rank #190 of 377
Model HR%
8.8%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1037
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Park factor
66
Starter vulnerability
58
Lineup spot
50
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Jacob Lopez
LHP · 1.84 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
107
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.