Graham Pauley (L)
MIA vs
HOU· Daikin Park2026-07-20
HR Score
38.0
Rank #231 of 267
Model HR%
7.4%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1249
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
66
Weather
60
Park factor
54
Starter vulnerability
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Ronel Blanco
RHP · — HR/9
Park factor (HR)
103
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.