Troy Johnston (L)
COL vs
SF· Oracle Park2026-07-10
HR Score
29.9
Rank #370 of 377
Model HR%
5.4%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1749
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
69
Starter vulnerability
62
Lineup spot
52
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Robbie Ray
LHP · 1.33 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
88
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.