Brett Baty (L)
NYM vs
BOS· Citi Field2026-07-10
HR Score
35.2
Rank #318 of 377
Model HR%
6.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1416
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
65
Weather
62
Starter vulnerability
52
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sonny Gray
RHP · 1.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
96
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.