Corbin Carroll (L)
AZ vs
LAD· UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium2026-07-10
HR Score
47.3
Rank #114 of 377
Model HR%
11.2%
probability this game
Fair odds
+789
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
60
Batter power
58
Park factor
57
Platoon edge
57
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shohei Ohtani
RHP · 0.42 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
104
neutral
Want the full board with all 12 factor sliders, K props, parlay builder, and bet tracker?
Start 7-day free trial →$9.99/mo after. Cancel anytime.
Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.