Tyler Callihan (L)
PIT vs
MIL· PNC Park2026-07-10
HR Score
44.3
Rank #159 of 377
Model HR%
9.8%
probability this game
Fair odds
+920
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
65
Starter vulnerability
63
Pitcher tendency
63
Weather
55
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Brandon Sproat
RHP · 1.59 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
93
HR suppressor
Want the full board with all 12 factor sliders, K props, parlay builder, and bet tracker?
Start 7-day free trial →$9.99/mo after. Cancel anytime.
Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.