Elly De La Cruz (S)
CIN vs
CHC· Great American Ball Park2026-07-10
HR Score
68.8
Rank #1 of 377
Model HR%
24.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+306
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
Park factor
91
Bullpen vulnerability
82
Contact quality
78
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shota Imanaga
LHP · 1.83 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
116
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.