Henry Davis (R)
PIT vs
MIL· PNC Park2026-07-10
HR Score
45.8
Rank #140 of 381
Model HR%
10.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+852
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
63
Recent form
57
Weather
55
Platoon edge
55
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Brandon Sproat
RHP · 1.59 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
93
HR suppressor
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