Adrian Del Castillo (L)
AZ vs
STL· Chase Field2026-07-19
HR Score
41.0
Rank #204 of 294
Model HR%
8.4%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1083
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
67
Weather
63
Starter vulnerability
52
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Andre Pallante
RHP · 0.90 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
100
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.