Eduardo Valencia (R)
DET vs
PHI· Comerica Park2026-07-11
HR Score
59.3
Rank #31 of 296
Model HR%
18.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+440
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
HP umpire
100
Recent form
88
Batter power
72
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Cristopher Sánchez
LHP · 0.85 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
97
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.