Spencer Torkelson (R)
DET vs
PHI· Comerica Park2026-07-10
HR Score
53.1
Rank #60 of 381
Model HR%
14.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+589
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
Contact quality
65
Starter vulnerability
65
Batter power
58
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Aaron Nola
RHP · 1.86 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
97
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.