Ezequiel Tovar (R)
COL vs
SF· Oracle Park2026-07-10
HR Score
37.9
Rank #278 of 377
Model HR%
7.4%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1255
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
69
Platoon edge
67
Starter vulnerability
62
Lineup spot
52
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Robbie Ray
LHP · 1.33 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
88
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.