Jared Young (L)
NYM vs
BOS· Citi Field2026-07-10
HR Score
46.0
Rank #134 of 377
Model HR%
10.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+844
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
66
Weather
62
Starter vulnerability
52
Batter power
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sonny Gray
RHP · 1.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
96
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.