José Caballero (R)
NYY vs
WSH· Nationals Park2026-07-10
HR Score
40.4
Rank #219 of 377
Model HR%
8.2%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1115
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
67
Platoon edge
67
Recent form
54
Lineup spot
51
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Carson Palmquist
LHP · 0.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
102
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.