Greg Jones (S)
MIL vs
PIT· PNC Park2026-07-10
HR Score
37.2
Rank #292 of 377
Model HR%
7.2%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1296
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
60
Weather
55
Starter vulnerability
52
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP · 1.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
93
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.