Luis Robert Jr. (R)
NYM vs
MIL· American Family Field2026-07-21
HR Score
41.5
Rank #232 of 386
Model HR%
8.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1057
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
67
Weather
64
Park factor
54
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Brandon Sproat
RHP · 1.65 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
105
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.