Gabriel Arias (R)
CLE vs
MIA· loanDepot park2026-07-10
HR Score
49.7
Rank #77 of 377
Model HR%
12.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+698
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Pitcher tendency
70
Recent form
70
Contact quality
61
Batter power
59
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sandy Alcantara
RHP · 0.87 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
90
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.