Patrick Bailey (S)
CLE vs
MIA· loanDepot park2026-07-10
HR Score
34.7
Rank #326 of 377
Model HR%
6.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1447
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
59
Weather
55
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sandy Alcantara
RHP · 0.87 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
90
HR suppressor
Want the full board with all 12 factor sliders, K props, parlay builder, and bet tracker?
Start 7-day free trial →$9.99/mo after. Cancel anytime.
Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.