Michael Harris II (L)
ATL vs
STL· Busch Stadium2026-07-10
HR Score
51.3
Rank #67 of 377
Model HR%
13.4%
probability this game
Fair odds
+644
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
68
Weather
64
Contact quality
64
Batter power
58
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Kyle Leahy
RHP · 0.94 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
95
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.