TJ Friedl (L)
CIN vs
CHC· Great American Ball Park2026-07-10
HR Score
40.9
Rank #208 of 377
Model HR%
8.4%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1089
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Park factor
86
Weather
67
Starter vulnerability
66
Bullpen vulnerability
54
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shota Imanaga
LHP · 1.83 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
116
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.