Yordan Alvarez (L)
HOU vs
TEX· Globe Life Field2026-07-10
HR Score
66.0
Rank #6 of 377
Model HR%
22.9%
probability this game
Fair odds
+336
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
Contact quality
94
Batter power
91
Recent form
75
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Cal Quantrill
RHP · 1.12 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.