Josh Smith (L)
TEX vs
HOU· Globe Life Field2026-07-10
HR Score
33.3
Rank #369 of 392
Model HR%
6.1%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1534
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
68
Weather
60
HP umpire
50
Catcher framing
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Hunter Brown
RHP · 1.23 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.