Sam Huff (R)
BAL vs
BOS· Fenway Park2026-07-20
HR Score
43.8
Rank #161 of 267
Model HR%
9.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+943
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
79
Weather
66
Contact quality
57
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Payton Tolle
LHP · 0.90 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
98
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.