Garrett Mitchell (L)
MIL vs
PIT· PNC Park2026-07-10
HR Score
49.6
Rank #78 of 377
Model HR%
12.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+702
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Contact quality
72
Platoon edge
71
Weather
55
Starter vulnerability
52
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Braxton Ashcraft
RHP · 1.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
93
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.