Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R)
AZ vs
LAD· UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium2026-07-10
HR Score
31.3
Rank #363 of 377
Model HR%
5.7%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1660
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
60
Park factor
51
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shohei Ohtani
RHP · 0.42 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
104
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.