Josh Lowe (L)
LAA vs
MIN· Target Field2026-07-10
HR Score
47.5
Rank #110 of 377
Model HR%
11.3%
probability this game
Fair odds
+781
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
77
Starter vulnerability
67
Weather
59
Recent form
55
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Zebby Matthews
RHP · 1.92 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.