Carlos Cortes (L)
ATH vs
CWS· Rate Field2026-07-10
HR Score
44.9
Rank #152 of 377
Model HR%
10.1%
probability this game
Fair odds
+892
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Park factor
66
Platoon edge
64
Starter vulnerability
55
Pitcher tendency
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sean Burke
RHP · 1.09 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
107
HR-friendly
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.