Freddy Fermin (R)
SD vs
KC· Kauffman Stadium2026-07-18
HR Score
38.2
Rank #298 of 393
Model HR%
7.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1238
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Pitcher tendency
93
Weather
72
Recent form
56
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Randy Dobnak
RHP · 0.93 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
92
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.