Juan Soto (L)
NYM vs
BOS· Citi Field2026-07-10
HR Score
61.6
Rank #20 of 377
Model HR%
20.1%
probability this game
Fair odds
+398
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Batter vs pitch mix + location
100
Batter power
84
Contact quality
80
Recent form
75
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Sonny Gray
RHP · 1.00 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
96
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.