Jeremy Peña (R)
HOU vs
TEX· Globe Life Field2026-07-10
HR Score
43.9
Rank #137 of 269
Model HR%
9.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+938
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
HP umpire
100
Lineup spot
100
Weather
61
Starter vulnerability
57
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Cal Quantrill
RHP · 1.12 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.