Ty France (R)
SD vs
TOR· Petco Park2026-07-10
HR Score
54.6
Rank #51 of 377
Model HR%
15.5%
probability this game
Fair odds
+547
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
100
Batter vs pitch mix + location
87
Batter power
60
Weather
58
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Shane Bieber
RHP · 4.15 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
92
HR suppressor
Want the full board with all 12 factor sliders, K props, parlay builder, and bet tracker?
Start 7-day free trial →$9.99/mo after. Cancel anytime.
Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.