Joey Bart (R)
ATL vs
STL· Busch Stadium2026-07-10
HR Score
46.3
Rank #128 of 377
Model HR%
10.7%
probability this game
Fair odds
+831
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Weather
64
Recent form
62
Starter vulnerability
55
Batter power
51
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Kyle Leahy
RHP · 0.94 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
95
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.