Alex Jackson (R)
MIN vs
LAA· Target Field2026-07-10
HR Score
39.5
Rank #237 of 377
Model HR%
7.9%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1165
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
62
Weather
59
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Grayson Rodriguez
RHP · 1.40 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.