Derek Hill (R)
PHI vs
DET· Comerica Park2026-07-10
HR Score
46.4
Rank #126 of 377
Model HR%
10.8%
probability this game
Fair odds
+826
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Recent form
55
Weather
52
Batter power
52
Starter vulnerability
52
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Jack Flaherty
RHP · 0.94 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
97
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.