Yandy Díaz (R)
TB vs
SEA· Tropicana Field2026-07-10
HR Score
42.7
Rank #186 of 381
Model HR%
9.1%
probability this game
Fair odds
+996
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
53
HP umpire
50
Catcher framing
50
Weather
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Luis Castillo
RHP · 0.98 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
95
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.