Gleyber Torres (R)
DET vs
CHC· Wrigley Field2026-07-21
HR Score
41.4
Rank #237 of 386
Model HR%
8.6%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1062
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
73
Starter vulnerability
65
Bullpen vulnerability
64
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
David Peterson
LHP · 0.98 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
99
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.