Luis Arraez (L)
SF vs
COL· Oracle Park2026-07-10
HR Score
39.8
Rank #230 of 377
Model HR%
8.0%
probability this game
Fair odds
+1148
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Platoon edge
80
Starter vulnerability
75
Weather
69
Contact quality
54
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Tanner Gordon
RHP · 2.18 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
88
HR suppressor
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.