Tyler O'Neill (R)
BAL vs
KC· Oriole Park at Camden Yards2026-07-10
HR Score
46.7
Rank #122 of 377
Model HR%
10.9%
probability this game
Fair odds
+814
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Recent form
67
Weather
59
Starter vulnerability
52
Pitcher tendency
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Luinder Avila
RHP · 0.87 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
98
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.