Mitch Garver (R)
SEA vs
TB· Tropicana Field2026-07-10
HR Score
44.7
Rank #156 of 377
Model HR%
10.0%
probability this game
Fair odds
+901
no-juice break-even
Top factors driving this score
Starter vulnerability
51
Batter vs pitch mix + location
50
Weather
50
HP umpire
50
Matchup
Opposing pitcher
Nick Martinez
RHP · 0.90 HR/9
Park factor (HR)
95
neutral
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Free model, transparent factors. Not financial advice. Bet responsibly.